buy and hold approach is the way to do things. It worked wonders for him in those decades as he bought shares in companies such as Coca Cola and Gillette and just watched them appreciate at fantastic annualized rates. Since the bubble burst in 2000 though, things have been far less rosy for buy and hold investors. First there was the big decline, with countertrend waves thrown in, to confuse eveMay is here, and the US equity markets are hot. Despite rising interest rates, pressures from energy prices, and a seemingly growing mess of US military involvement overseas, the markets continue to hold up.

There are some major problems to consider. One is the old "sell in May, go away" adage that has been used by traders and coined by the Hirsch organization, who publish Stock Trader's Almanac. They published a fascinating stat that says that since 1950, if you invested $10,000 in the market at the beginning of November and held it to April of every year, you would have $536,000 currently. If you had done the same thing but invested from May to October, you would actually have a loss of $236. This amazing take on seasonality is enough for investors to take pause, but even more so in a US election year, where the May to October period tends to be more bearish than usual.

Then there are the "commercials". These are the professionals in the futures market who must report their positions to the futures governing body. In doing so, they give clues as to where they think things are going. As of the beginning of May, what they are saying is that they are very bearish on the stock market and also believe 30 year interest rates will fall, both signs of a slowdown and problems for the US economy.

Then there's the housing bubble, political uncertainty, the price of gold...you get the picture. You need an approach that has a lot more caution built into it than buy and hold.

Investors were told by such leaders as Warren Buffett in the 80's and 90's that a buy and hold approach is the way to do things. It worked wonders for him in those decades as he bought shares in companies such as Coca Cola and Gillette and just watched them appreciate at fantastic annualized rates. Since the bubble burst in 2000 though, things have been far less rosy for buy and hold investors. First there was the big decline, with countertrend waves thrown in, to confuse ever

manac. They published a fascinating stat that says that since 1950, if you invested $10,000 in the market at the beginning of November and held it to April of every year, you would have $536,000 currently. If you had done the same thing but invested from May to October, you would actually have a loss of $236. This amazing take on seasonality is enough for investors to take pause, but even more so in a US election year, where the May to October period tends to be more bearish than usual.

Then there are the "commercials". These are the professionals in the futures market who must report their positions to the futures governing body. In doing so, they give clues as to where they think things are going. As of the beginning of May, what they are saying is that they are very bearish on the stock market and also believe 30 year interest rates will fall, both signs of a slowdown and problems for the US economy.

Then there's the housing bubble, political uncertainty, the price of gold...you get the picture. You need an approach that has a lot more caution built into it than buy and hold.

Investors were told by such leaders as Warren Buffett in the 80's and 90's that a buy and hold approach is the way to do things. It worked wonders for him in those decades as he bought shares in companies such as Coca Cola and Gillette and just watched them appreciate at fantastic annualized rates. Since the bubble burst in 2000 though, things have been far less rosy for buy and hold investors. First there was the big decline, with countertrend waves thrown in, to confuse eve

o in a US election year, where the May to October period tends to be more bearish than usual.

Then there are the "commercials". These are the professionals in the futures market who must report their positions to the futures governing body. In doing so, they give clues as to where they think things are going. As of the beginning of May, what they are saying is that they are very bearish on the stock market and also believe 30 year interest rates will fall, both signs of a slowdown and problems for the US economy.

Then there's the housing bubble, political uncertainty, the price of gold...you get the picture. You need an approach that has a lot more caution built into it than buy and hold.

Investors were told by such leaders as Warren Buffett in the 80's and 90's that a buy and hold approach is the way to do things. It worked wonders for him in those decades as he bought shares in companies such as Coca Cola and Gillette and just watched them appreciate at fantastic annualized rates. Since the bubble burst in 2000 though, things have been far less rosy for buy and hold investors. First there was the big decline, with countertrend waves thrown in, to confuse eve

the stock market and also believe 30 year interest rates will fall, both signs of a slowdown and problems for the US economy.

Then there's the housing bubble, political uncertainty, the price of gold...you get the picture. You need an approach that has a lot more caution built into it than buy and hold.

Investors were told by such leaders as Warren Buffett in the 80's and 90's that a buy and hold approach is the way to do things. It worked wonders for him in those decades as he bought shares in companies such as Coca Cola and Gillette and just watched them appreciate at fantastic annualized rates. Since the bubble burst in 2000 though, things have been far less rosy for buy and hold investors. First there was the big decline, with countertrend waves thrown in, to confuse eve

buy and hold approach is the way to do things. It worked wonders for him in those decades as he bought shares in companies such as Coca Cola and Gillette and just watched them appreciate at fantastic annualized rates. Since the bubble burst in 2000 though, things have been far less rosy for buy and hold investors. First there was the big decline, with countertrend waves thrown in, to confuse everyone and erase a lot of gains. Then the big "war rally" that began in 2003 made everyone believe the good times are back.

If you are interested in investing in technology stocks such as those found in the Nasdaq 100 index, you know full well that a buy and hold approach has not worked since the March 2000 high. I believe a far better approach is to attempt to catch the typically 10% to 15% waves of choppy movement that occur throughout the year, which allows you to trade infrequently but at the end of the year should provide a much better return than a simple buy and hold approach.

If you are interested in using a service that will advise you on which side of the Nasdaq 100 to be on, and to alter your position only infrequently throughout the year, please visit us at www.dynamic-timing.com.